QUOTE (ElkGroveDan @ Jun 15 2006, 08:57 AM)
Perhaps Dilo was paying attention to the (certified) rocket scientists at NASA and JPL who mention something called "outcrop promontory on FAR wall" in their diagrams.
Now I'm not a rocket scientist, so I'm not so sure what that means.
I'm no "rocket scientist" either, Dan'l, but I am an old biologist with a fair bit of experience with how "certified" scientists in all disciplines work, and, above all else, I know that they have "feet of clay"; they are human. They can get it completely wrong and yet smoothly, persuasively, stubbornly continue to argue their erroneous conclusions right into the grave. It happens every day, though, of course, it
shouldn't. That's not how scientists are
supposed to act. They're supposed to carefully, impartially examine all the evidence, to cautiously draw the appropriate conclusions, and to be
always ready to change their conclusions if new evidence requires it. That's the ideal; a few scientists actually live that ideal, but others miss by a mile.
I don't know who at JPL conjured the conclusion: "outcrop promontary on Far wall". I don't know what their 'certification' is, or what evidence they had at hand to reach it. I can make a reasonable guess, however, that they probably didn't have
much more than the dedicated enthusiasts at UMSF had. We have a tendency to imagine that the "rocket scientists" have all sorts of miraculous, arcane information they carefully keep away from the "hoi polloi" tp preserve their 'superiority', but I find that rather naive. In the cutthroat competition for funding, for promotion, for public adulation and support, if you've got it, you flaunt it. You don't hide it; you
publish it. I can easily imagine 'someone' (not necessarily a certified rocket scientist) at JPL hearing about a bright speck on the horizon, locating it, figuring out the bearing from Oppy, laying a straightedge on the MOC view, seeing it pass across the near rim, where nothing terribly obvious could be seen, and continuing across Victoria to where it bisected a big, white, triangular prominence on the far rim.
Aha! Case closed. Pick up the phone to the PR office and give them the word "It's the far rim." And the rest is history. It was too soon and Oppy too far away then (early April) to do a conclusive parallax check on range. That came later, as did the fact that Beacon did not change significantly in appearance as Oppy moved south. Only then did I support the near rim hypothesis. JPL jumped the gun, and somebody there will suffer a little embarrassment, if they actually remember who it was that jumped.
One thing we academic scientists always try to teach our up-and-coming students: "Avoid appeals to
authority!" Just because some certified scientist said it, doesn't mean it's true. Always look at the evidence first. In the real world of science they often forget.