This is a new pool, similar to Victoria Crater arrival bets.
Now Oppy is still around between 2 to 4 weeks away from Beagle Crater so the bet must, tentatively, be closed by next Wednesday.
My bet of Oppy arrival at Beagle crater is: Sol 877 (July 12).
Rodolfo
Full Version: Pool: Arrival if Oppy at Beagle Crater
879
874 (July,9 - my birthday! 
)
Edit: this date is reasonable based on the average distance covered in last two weeks (close to 20m/Sol) unless they completely stop Oppy for new navigation program upload...
)Edit: this date is reasonable based on the average distance covered in last two weeks (close to 20m/Sol) unless they completely stop Oppy for new navigation program upload...
QUOTE (dilo @ Jun 24 2006, 07:41 AM) 
874 (July,9 - my birthday! )
Edit: this date is reasonable based on the average distance covered in last two weeks (close to 20m/Sol) unless they completely stop Oppy for new navigation program upload...
)Edit: this date is reasonable based on the average distance covered in last two weeks (close to 20m/Sol) unless they completely stop Oppy for new navigation program upload...
Dilo,
july 9 will also be the day of the final of the Soccer World Cup where we still have the possibility of an Italy-France match. So I go for july 9 + 11 days = july 20th (also another known "birthday"
) i.e. sol 885 (also called D-50 to VC). Good luck!
I'll say 881
QUOTE (climber @ Jun 24 2006, 05:41 AM)
Dilo,
july 9 will also be the day of the final of the Soccer World Cup where we still have the possibility of an Italy-France match. So I go for july 9 + 11 days = july 20th (also another known "birthday" ) i.e. sol 885 (also called D-50 to VC). Good luck!
july 9 will also be the day of the final of the Soccer World Cup where we still have the possibility of an Italy-France match. So I go for july 9 + 11 days = july 20th (also another known "birthday"
) i.e. sol 885 (also called D-50 to VC). Good luck!Brazil will win this Soccer World Cup..
870
I'm going to be optimistic, the drivers are doing a great job, so : 871.
QUOTE (hal_9000 @ Jun 24 2006, 05:07 PM)
Brazil will win this Soccer World Cup..
On sol 1233
Mmm...the dunes still scare me, and they appear both taller and more numerous lately, so I'll bet that additional caution will be exercised by the drivers in the near future. Put me down for Sol 906.
I'll go for sol 882, just a guess based on a quick look at Tesheiner's route map and Oppy's driving so far.
875 for me
QUOTE (dilo @ Jun 24 2006, 07:41 AM)
874 (July,9 - my birthday! )
)Ok, I'll join you: sol 879 (July 14, my birthday
)
872 for me.
QUOTE (hansvi @ Jun 25 2006, 10:06 AM)
Ok, I'll join you: sol 879 (July 14, my birthday )
)Snap!
Does that mean I get to take all the sols posted so far?
Up now, the list goes growing up to 12
Rodolfo
- Rneuhaus 877
- jamescavin 879
- Dilo 874
- Climber 885-->1233
- Alan 881
- ElkGroveDan 870
- David S. 871
- nprev 906
- Bubbinski 882
- Rakhir 875
- Hansvi 879
- antoniesb 872
Rodolfo
890 
I'll be earlier... 868
(Long time lurker - not much to contribute, but sure enjoy everyone's efforts.)
(Long time lurker - not much to contribute, but sure enjoy everyone's efforts.)
868...that was my guess for when Oppy would arrive at Victoria. But alas...things have gone a little slower than that. Still, I look forward to Victoria when she arrives.
Sol 876 is my guess
873 please...
The MER team is being aggressive and the sailing looks smooth. Sol 869.
And thank you all for this wonderfull ride!
And thank you all for this wonderfull ride!
QUOTE (RNeuhaus @ Jun 25 2006, 04:51 AM)
Up now, the list goes growing up to 12
Rodolfo
- Climber 885-->1233
Rodolfo
Rodolfo, there's a missunderstanding! HAL_9000 told me that Brasil will win the Soccer World Cup and I replies (oh Yes) on sol 1233! My bet is 885 at Beagle
About the rule : what about first shot of center of the interior of Beagle ?
my bet is 872!
889
QUOTE (climber @ Jun 25 2006, 05:49 AM)
Rodolfo, there's a missunderstanding! HAL_9000 told me that Brasil will win the Soccer World Cup and I replies (oh Yes) on sol 1233! My bet is 885 at Beagle
About the rule : what about first shot of center of the interior of Beagle ?
About the rule : what about first shot of center of the interior of Beagle ?
my bet is 885 too..
Sol 884 please
875
QUOTE (hal_9000 @ Jun 24 2006, 04:07 PM)
Brazil will win this Soccer World Cup..
I'll say 872 (MY birthday
) and PORTUGAL will win this Cup...
Sol 879, I say. 
I'll say 888.
900
Bob Shaw
Bob Shaw
The following is the list of particpants for the betting of Oppy's arrival at Beagle Crater (aka Counter Crater). Now it has grown up to 27. Most are betting on the sol 872. Earliest is of sol 868 and the latest sol is 906.
Order of inscription, name, sol
The actual forecast of Oppy, everything is going cool as planned. The route is becoming easier, with wider crest of ripples. The deadline is still away until this Wednesday midnight
Rodolfo
Order of inscription, name, sol
- 14. Arkarch 868 Welcome
- 18. monty phyton 869
- 06. ElkGroveDan 870
- 07. David S. 871
- 19. FIN Mars 872
- 12. antoniesb 872
- 24. usatrax 872
- 17. Stu 873
- 03. Dilo 874
- 10. Rakhir 875
- 23. sapodilla 875
- 16. Bobby 876
- 01. Rneuhaus 877
- 02. jamescavin 879
- 11. Hansvi 879
- 25. ant103 879
- 05. Alan 881
- 09. Bubbinski 868
- 22. bergadder 884
- 04. Climber 885 Ok, jejeje
- 21. Hal_9000 885
- 13. decepticon 890
- 26. um3k 888
- 20. Adam 889
- 27. bob Shaw 900
- 08. nprev 906
The actual forecast of Oppy, everything is going cool as planned. The route is becoming easier, with wider crest of ripples. The deadline is still away until this Wednesday midnight
Rodolfo
I fear that both the pools will come to a teary and griefstricken end, if people don't settle on fireproof Definitions of Arrival pretty soon.
Arrival has already been defined as the first sol during which the rover is at the site & drive number where the 'big' pancam sequence for that target is taken.
Doug
Doug
OK I,m taking sol 878...please!
880 for me.
Michael
Michael
QUOTE (djellison @ Jun 27 2006, 12:51 AM)
Arrival has already been defined as the first sol during which the rover is at the site & ....
Doug
Doug
....not trying to be funny here, but how do we define "at the site".
EDIT: NEVER MIND I DIDN"T READ THAT CAREFULLY.
...not to drop out of the race without ever getting registered!
i committed to SOL 876 (and indirectly spawned this thread i like to believe!) in my posting from June 23rd:
http://www.unmannedspaceflight.com/index.p...amp;#entry59592
i still think were on target for SOL 876
i'd considered arrival 'at the site' would mean we are essentially at the lip or close enough as we are going to get witout signifficant legwork. the point at which we would be able to see enough that the descision will be made where to go next to check out crater details. one major consideration would be if we can see the bulk of the interior floor of Beagle.
i committed to SOL 876 (and indirectly spawned this thread i like to believe!) in my posting from June 23rd:
http://www.unmannedspaceflight.com/index.p...amp;#entry59592
i still think were on target for SOL 876
i'd considered arrival 'at the site' would mean we are essentially at the lip or close enough as we are going to get witout signifficant legwork. the point at which we would be able to see enough that the descision will be made where to go next to check out crater details. one major consideration would be if we can see the bulk of the interior floor of Beagle.
09. Bubbinski 868
Um, mine was 882. Thanks.
Um, mine was 882. Thanks.
884. And for arrival criteria: arrival at panorama site is fine by me...
Slightly off topic - but for me, the arrival at Beagle will represent a significant milestone in the effort to reach Victoria. I would almost say that we would have arrrived at the outskirts- and the investigation/exploration of Victoria and surrounding terrain will have begun.
QUOTE (avkillick @ Jun 28 2006, 04:03 PM)
Slightly off topic - but for me, the arrival at Beagle will represent a significant milestone in the effort to reach Victoria. I would almost say that we would have arrrived at the outskirts- and the investigation/exploration of Victoria and surrounding terrain will have begun.
Yes that Beagon Crater is a outskirt of VC or the other words, it is part of the VC arpon. However, the bet has two different places and times. So, everybody (I hope we won't be dissapointed if Oppy will divert to VC before reaching at BC) are sure that Oppy will arrive at BC so we are playing with a new bet.
Rodolfo
Point-of-Definition: You have ARRIVED at a crater when you can image the center of the floor. Agreed, "hanging 10" over the edge is best, but seeing at least half of the bottom is what pretty much counts.
A favorite photo from Spirit was taken <Navcam, only, I think> from the rim of Bonneville. They were some 15 (maybe) feet back from the rim, but you could suddenly see a good chunk of the far rim and a good bit of the upper half of the far wall. You just knew the next day's drive and download was going to result in a lot of "Oh WOW!"s.
A favorite photo from Spirit was taken <Navcam, only, I think> from the rim of Bonneville. They were some 15 (maybe) feet back from the rim, but you could suddenly see a good chunk of the far rim and a good bit of the upper half of the far wall. You just knew the next day's drive and download was going to result in a lot of "Oh WOW!"s.
Nope. 'Arrival' has already been defined. There is no ambiguity.
The first sol that includes the site and drive number at which the big 'pan' of the target is taken.
I'm not taking part in this particular episode of pool-fettishism that's taking over (and I'm essentially pulling out of the same one in Victoria), specifically so I can wrap it up very rapidly with a discreet, specific sol number without claims of fixing it so I win.
The definiition has been written for some time already, it's not getting changed.
Doug
The first sol that includes the site and drive number at which the big 'pan' of the target is taken.
I'm not taking part in this particular episode of pool-fettishism that's taking over (and I'm essentially pulling out of the same one in Victoria), specifically so I can wrap it up very rapidly with a discreet, specific sol number without claims of fixing it so I win.
The definiition has been written for some time already, it's not getting changed.
Doug
If it's not too late, please add my bet for sol 876.
Six driving sols on 864, 867, 869, 871, 874, and finally 876.
BTW, which is the prize?
OT: And about the World Cup we'll talk again about that this Saturday, Climber.
Six driving sols on 864, 867, 869, 871, 874, and finally 876.
BTW, which is the prize?
OT: And about the World Cup we'll talk again about that this Saturday, Climber.
QUOTE (Tesheiner @ Jun 29 2006, 11:29 AM)
OT: And about the World Cup we'll talk again about that this Saturday, Climber.
Yep! I'll be starting a climbing week in Picos de Europa so, I'll be in Spain so not able to talk to you... but I'll be back home on July 9th to watch "our" final
Tesheiner, no problem but not anymore!!! The final list of bet is the following:
Average: 879.52 soles
Median: 878 soles
Min: 868 arkarch
Max: 906 nprev
The prize, attach some picture of national bill on that post!!!! (
)
Rodolfo
CODE
No. Inscrp. Name, Sol
*14. Arkarch 868
*17. monty phyton 869
*06. ElkGroveDan 870
*07. David S. 871
*18. FIN Mars 872
*12. antoniesb 872
*23. ustrax 872 <--- Already corrected from USAtrax.
*16. Stu 873
*03. Dilo 874
*10. Rakhir 875
*22. sapodilla 875
*15. Bobby 876
*31. Tesheiner 876
*29. atomoid 876
*01. Rneuhaus 877
*27. Toma B 878
*02. jamescavin 879
*11. Hansvi 879
*24. ant103 879
*28. Michael Capobianco 880
*05. Alan 881
*09. Bubbinski 868 --> 882 (Corrected
*30. imipak 884
*21. bergadder 884
*04. Climber 885
*20. Hal_9000 885
*25. um3k 888
*19. Adam 889
*13. decepticon 890
*26. bob Shaw 900
*08. nprev 906
*14. Arkarch 868
*17. monty phyton 869
*06. ElkGroveDan 870
*07. David S. 871
*18. FIN Mars 872
*12. antoniesb 872
*23. ustrax 872 <--- Already corrected from USAtrax.
*16. Stu 873
*03. Dilo 874
*10. Rakhir 875
*22. sapodilla 875
*15. Bobby 876
*31. Tesheiner 876
*29. atomoid 876
*01. Rneuhaus 877
*27. Toma B 878
*02. jamescavin 879
*11. Hansvi 879
*24. ant103 879
*28. Michael Capobianco 880
*05. Alan 881
*09. Bubbinski 868 --> 882 (Corrected
*30. imipak 884
*21. bergadder 884
*04. Climber 885
*20. Hal_9000 885
*25. um3k 888
*19. Adam 889
*13. decepticon 890
*26. bob Shaw 900
*08. nprev 906
Average: 879.52 soles
Median: 878 soles
Min: 868 arkarch
Max: 906 nprev
The prize, attach some picture of national bill on that post!!!! (
)Rodolfo
QUOTE (RNeuhaus @ Jun 29 2006, 06:08 PM)
*23. usatrax 872
It's ustrax rodolfo, ustrax! It has nothing to do with 'USA'...
QUOTE (ustrax @ Jun 30 2006, 08:01 AM)
It's ustrax rodolfo, ustrax! It has nothing to do with 'USA'...
Ooohh! I will correct it anyway! Recently, my eyes are becoming tired.
Rodolfo
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