Unmanned Spaceflight.com > Pool: Arrival if Oppy at Beagle Crater

Full Version: Pool: Arrival if Oppy at Beagle Crater

Unmanned Spaceflight.com > Mars & Missions > Past and Future > MER > Opportunity

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RNeuhaus

Jul 2 2006, 10:58 PM

Update pool to Beagle crater for the Sol 867

CODE

___________________________________________________
Average speed 14.9 m/sol
Remaining distance 175.10 meters
___________________________________________________
Outlook arrival date: 878.8 Sol --> Jul 13 at 15.0 m/sol speed average
Outlook arrival date: 884.5 Sol --> Jul 19 at 10.0 m/sol speed average

Previous update at Sol 855

CODE

Average speed 15.0 m/sol
Remaining distance 334.40 meters
Outlook arrival date: 877.3 Sol --> Jul 12 at 15.0 m/sol speed average
Outlook arrival date: 888.4 Sol --> Jul 23 at 10.0 m/sol speed average

Outlook comments:
Well, as JPL has already started to upload the new version of flight software to MERs and it would make more driving soles restricitons. Besides, after the next outcrop at somewhat 40 meters, there seems to have another kind of land since its abedo has changed which is somewhat lighter than the present. I am not sure about what is the change but Bill seems to be of some fluffy sand according to his previous note. However, the arriving would be around the median value of bet which is 878 sol. The most probably that the arrival time would tend to be somewhat longer than 878 sol.

Rodolfo

Toma B

Jul 3 2006, 07:43 AM

QUOTE (RNeuhaus @ Jul 3 2006, 12:58 AM)

...However, the arriving would be around the median value of bet which is 878 sol. The most probably that the arrival time would tend to be somewhat longer than 878 sol.
Rodolfo

No,no sol 878 is just fine...

RNeuhaus

Jul 3 2006, 02:18 PM

B)-->

QUOTE(Toma B @ Jul 3 2006, 02:43 AM)

No,no sol 878 is just fine...

[/quote]
Hope it would be your turn of good luck!

Rodolfo

ustrax

Jul 7 2006, 09:09 AM

QUOTE (ustrax @ Jun 26 2006, 11:14 AM)

I'll say 872 (MY birthday

)

Hey! My birthday is today but the sol is 871!...Me and my maths...

Any gifts?

Toma B

Jul 7 2006, 09:54 AM

Happy Birthday Ustrax!!!

Click to view attachment

No gifts, ...just this old cake...

Bob Shaw

Jul 7 2006, 10:17 AM

QUOTE (ustrax @ Jul 7 2006, 10:09 AM)

Hey! My birthday is today but the sol is 871!...Me and my maths...

Any gifts?

Ustrax:

You're just angling for one of them manly hugs, oh yes.

NO!

Bob Shaw

Marz

Jul 7 2006, 02:41 PM

B)-->

QUOTE(Toma B @ Jul 7 2006, 04:54 AM)

Happy Birthday Ustrax!!!

No gifts, ...just this old cake...

[/quote]

Well, at least virtual cake is low in calories!

Happy Birthday, ustrax!

How old are you in Mars years?

Michael Capobianco

Jul 13 2006, 10:59 PM

Coming down the home stretch?

Michael

[quote name='RNeuhaus' date='Jun 29 2006, 01:08 PM' post='60103']

No. Inscrp. Name, Sol
*14. Arkarch 868
*17. monty phyton 869
*06. ElkGroveDan 870
*07. David S. 871
*18. FIN Mars 872
*12. antoniesb 872
*23. ustrax 872 <--- Already corrected from USAtrax.
*16. Stu 873
*03. Dilo 874
*10. Rakhir 875
*22. sapodilla 875
*15. Bobby 876
*31. Tesheiner 876
*29. atomoid 876
*01. Rneuhaus 877
*27. Toma B 878
*02. jamescavin 879
*11. Hansvi 879
*24. ant103 879
*28. Michael Capobianco 880
*05. Alan 881
*09. Bubbinski 868 --> 882 (Corrected
*30. imipak 884
*21. bergadder 884
*04. Climber 885
*20. Hal_9000 885
*25. um3k 888
*19. Adam 889
*13. decepticon 890
*26. bob Shaw 900
*08. nprev 906

ustrax

Jul 14 2006, 11:48 AM

QUOTE (Marz @ Jul 7 2006, 03:41 PM)

How old are you in Mars years?

Is there a way of making that conversion?...

I'm only interested in knowing if it take some years of my back...

Thanks Toma B, Bob and Marz for the cake and words...
And a !Happy Birthday! to dilo who celebrated his at the 8th...

ElkGroveDan

Jul 14 2006, 03:02 PM

QUOTE (ustrax @ Jul 14 2006, 03:48 AM)

Is there a way of making that conversion?...

The simplest math would be to multiply your age by 365 / 687 which is 0.531

Someone else will have to work out the Earth leap years and the fraction of Mars' orbit that is +- 687.

helvick

Jul 14 2006, 04:29 PM

QUOTE (ElkGroveDan @ Jul 14 2006, 04:02 PM)

Someone else will have to work out the Earth leap years and the fraction of Mars' orbit that is +- 687.

Your rough number is accurate enough to within a couple of percentage points. Taking the Earth Tropical Year in earth solar days (24 standard hours) * the length of the earth solar day (in seconds) / Martian Tropical Year in Martian solar days (Sols) * Martian Solar day (measured in earth seconds) you get 0.531669277. Which should be accurate to well under a second per (earth) year.

So I'm not even half way through being 21 on Mars. Happy Sols..

CosmicRocker

Jul 15 2006, 05:25 AM

Woohoo! I feel like I am 29 again.

silylene

Jul 15 2006, 09:00 PM

My prediction is that the apron is imapssable, and we will never reach the rim of Victoria. I hope I am wrong.

CosmicRocker

Jul 16 2006, 04:57 AM

Well, it will be more difficult to map with Tesheiner on leave, but I think we'll manage.

RNeuhaus

Jul 17 2006, 02:38 PM

QUOTE (ustrax @ Jul 7 2006, 04:09 AM)

Hey! My birthday is today but the sol is 871!...Me and my maths...

Any gifts?

Happy Birthday Ustrax!

P.D.I was out for two weeks of vacations taking the advantage the time to organize and arrange the moving my house to a better place, more fresh air, quiet place and greens.

Rodolfo

Arkarch

Jul 19 2006, 10:59 PM

nprev's 906 bet is looking better and better.

Michael Capobianco

Jul 20 2006, 11:23 PM

QUOTE (Arkarch @ Jul 19 2006, 06:59 PM)

nprev's 906 bet is looking better and better.

[quote name='RNeuhaus' date='Jun 29 2006, 01:08 PM' post='60103']

No. Inscrp. Name, Sol

*14. Arkarch 868
*17. monty phyton 869
*06. ElkGroveDan 870
*07. David S. 871
*18. FIN Mars 872
*12. antoniesb 872
*23. ustrax 872 <--- Already corrected from USAtrax.
*16. Stu 873
*03. Dilo 874
*10. Rakhir 875
*22. sapodilla 875
*15. Bobby 876
*31. Tesheiner 876
*29. atomoid 876
*01. Rneuhaus 877
*27. Toma B 878
*02. jamescavin 879
*11. Hansvi 879
*24. ant103 879
*28. Michael Capobianco 880
*05. Alan 881
*09. Bubbinski 868 --> 882 (Corrected
*30. imipak 884
*21. bergadder 884
*04. Climber 885
*20. Hal_9000 885
*25. um3k 888
*19. Adam 889
*13. decepticon 890
*26. bob Shaw 900
*08. nprev 906

Michael

CosmicRocker

Jul 21 2006, 04:32 AM

Unless a multisol science campaign ensues at the disintegrated lump, it's looking pretty good for um3k

Arkarch

Jul 21 2006, 07:43 PM

From other forum sections, 885 was a turn and test - and probably weekend work. So when Oppy gets moving, um3k, Adam, and decepticon are the likely contenders. Of course they could spend another 10 days wandering about. Has anyone defined what 'arriving at Beagle' means?

Oren Iishi

Jul 22 2006, 12:56 AM

QUOTE (Arkarch @ Jul 21 2006, 07:43 PM)

Can I enter sol never. It appears that the rover may very well by pass Beagle and head into the ejecta area. If this is the case I would imagine that the winner would be the guess when Opportunity was the closest to Beagle. Nonetheless, this is a very entertaining topic.

fredk

Jul 22 2006, 01:07 AM

I'd say we're guaranteed a stop at Beagle. It's been a stated destination by the rover planners for weeks, and the latest pancam shots look extremely interesting. Plus the drive there is almost entirely on bedrock - nothing could be easier!

Toma B

Jul 26 2006, 02:37 PM

Now, this is quite unexpected...
There are only 2 players left:

*26. bob Shaw 900
*08. nprev 906

...if Opportunity doesn't start

soon...

ustrax

Jul 26 2006, 02:57 PM

B)-->

QUOTE(Toma B @ Jul 26 2006, 03:37 PM)

...if Opportunity doesn't start

soon...

[/quote]

...We'll have to start a new pool...

climber

Jul 26 2006, 05:07 PM

QUOTE (ustrax @ Jul 26 2006, 04:57 PM)

...if Opportunity doesn't start soon :...We'll have to start a new pool...

So, I'll go for 907

first to show up is first to be served

dvandorn

Jul 27 2006, 03:37 AM

Since I never voted in the first poll -- put me down for 912...

-the other Doug

Bill Harris

Jul 27 2006, 11:26 AM

... and I'm still down for "eventually".

--Bill

alan

Jul 27 2006, 11:45 PM

almost there
Click to view attachment

Myran

Jul 28 2006, 03:40 AM

Thank you for that mosaic alan.
Looks like the best pit-stop we could ask for.

I'd be suprised if they decide to do a little look around here. Seems to be one easy entry at the left side.

Pavel

Jul 28 2006, 06:23 PM

QUOTE (Bill Harris @ Jul 27 2006, 07:26 AM)

... and I'm still down for "eventually".

--Bill

You are the winner! Congratulations!

Michael Capobianco

Aug 2 2006, 01:15 AM

It looks like we have a real winner.

*26. bob Shaw 900

Bill Harris

Aug 2 2006, 02:37 AM

I've passed the good news on to Bob. Sadly, he is having connection problems with the UMSF ISP and hasn't been able to log on to this site for a fortnight.

--Bill

RNeuhaus

Aug 2 2006, 11:36 PM

Congratulations Bob for the prize of the best guesser of Opportunity arrival to Beagle Crater. It is like a lottery!

Rodolfo

ElkGroveDan

Aug 3 2006, 12:54 AM

QUOTE (RNeuhaus @ Aug 2 2006, 03:36 PM)

Congratulations Bob for the prize of the best guesser of Opportunity arrival to Beagle Crater. It is like a lottery!

I don't suppose we'll make it up the slope of Victoria in 2 sols

RNeuhaus

Aug 3 2006, 09:45 PM

QUOTE (ElkGroveDan @ Aug 2 2006, 07:54 PM)

I don't suppose we'll make it up the slope of Victoria in 2 sols

Better with a slope of 45 degree to help Oppy to roll down into Victoria in 2 soles.

Rodolfo

Arkarch

Aug 4 2006, 02:09 AM

Speaking of which,,

Time for an arrival pool for Victoria??

(I suppose we got to get driving that way first)

Bill Harris

Aug 4 2006, 02:15 AM

>Time for an arrival pool for Victoria??

It should be on Page 2 of this Section.

--Bill

atomoid

Aug 4 2006, 02:56 AM

QUOTE (Bill Harris @ Aug 4 2006, 02:15 AM)

>Time for an arrival pool for Victoria??
It should be on Page 2 of this Section.

--Bill

Just need to resurrect the original pool-on-arrival at Victoria thread (which has become a bit thread-bare i might add):
http://www.unmannedspaceflight.com/index.p...1228&st=240

I am still on record stating SOL 934 as the official arrival date. Heck, i say we can still make it by then if we dont get stuck!

So thats two weeks here at Beagle and two weeks to make it to the edge.
Steve Squyres is on record as saying sometime in mid-september i think it was in a recent update, so im obstinately holding out for SOL 934, which shoudl be in the first week in September!

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