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by Doug
Just because you're not privy to ever iota of the decision making process, that doesn't mean there isn't a well documented, thought out and pre-prepared process involved.
The communication, and this is the only information we have, suggests there is not such a well prepared plan. In the end it comes down to some person to make a decision: Take the risk (of fueling the second stage, of flying without a tracking aircraft, etc.) and try to fly or delay. And stand by this decision (and maybe resign) if there is a failure. Again, it seems to me like people are extremly risk adverse these days. I respect Mr. Griffin (And I am not a Griffin-fan) for the decision to fly the shuttle before STS-121 despite the opinions of other management people to delay and develop a new ice-frost ramp. This has been a bold (and correct) decision.
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by Doug
We've been told - it can't be done.
It looks like it can. And will be from July 15th to July 19th.
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by Doug
We were told - $25m.
Question is: Is it cheaper to try closer to (and before) the Phoenix launch and pay overtime fees, whatever, or is it cheaper to destack, place Dawn into a cleanroom, test and stack again and fly in September or October. With $25m for the second option (and a Delta 7925H at about $80m (?)) you have plenty of incentive to use the first. $25m is almost one third extra to the total launch service cost. It looks like NASA knows this too and will try again from July 15th to July 19th.
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by Jim
1. It is on the fly because you can't cover all the options or think of all the 'what ifs" and you would be wasting resources.
We are not talking about some strange failed component never been there before, but about a launch delay within a short planetary window. Nothing new or fancy. The simple question is: Are x days left in the window enough to start trying to fly or not?
Tracking assets: It is sad to know there are no backup aircraft anymore. Is this part of the service the range offers? It is always the same: Save a few bucks now and pay later $25m for a delayed launch. Btw., I always wondered why it takes two days to switch the range from one vehicle to another. Titan II Gemini launches took place ninety minutes after Atlas-Agena with the docking target. In the mid 1960ies! And please, nobody tell me how hard it is with modern technology.
MARDI: I seldom share the opinion of Keith from NasaWatch.com, but here he is dead on:
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Editor's note: Although NASA and all of the mission participants are very shy about saying this, Phoenix was originally called the Mars Surveyor 2001 lander - a spacecraft with significant hardware commonality with the Mars Polar Lander. As you may recall, MPL crashed into Mars when the jolt of its engines firing made some sensors think the spacecraft had landed - so it shut the engines off - and ... splat. The main culprit was found to be incomplete integrated testing prior to launch.
It's great that they did more integrated testing this time, but I have to wonder why they waited to test such things in an integrated fashion where results from that testing could not result in a hardware fix, but rather not using part of the spacecraft's hardware - thus diminishing its capability.
And although the "science" won't be affected once Phoenix is on the surface, this is a case where the spacecraft's overall objectives will not be met - despite the spin NASA is trying to put on it. Otherwise, why was a descent imager capable of multiple images included on the spacecraft in the first place?
But wait - NASA/JPL is saying that "the mission will still be capable of accomplishing all of its science goals."
I am confused. This mission fact sheet at the University of Arizona says: "Mars Descent Imager (MARDI) - Built by Malin Space Science Systems MARDI plays a key science role during Phoenix's descent to the Martian arctic. Beginning just after the aeroshell is jettisoned at an altitude of about 5 miles, MARDI will acquire a series of wide-angle, color images of the landing site all the way down to the surface."
And further, this page at Malin Space Science Systems says "The Phoenix Mars Descent Imager (MARDI) will provide a context in which all other Phoenix observations can be fully understood. Among the most important questions to be asked about a spacecraft sitting on a planet is "Where is it?" and "Descent imaging provides a bridge between orbiter pictures, that tell us about regional and global scales, and lander images of very small, "micro-scale" attributes of the planet."
So what is it, NASA? Does this instrument play a key "science role" in this mission or doesn't it? You really need to be consistent with what you've said previously before you try and spin bad news into something a little more palatable.
Analyst