QUOTE (tedstryk @ Feb 14 2005, 02:51 PM)
This begs the question of how long the rovers will last. Any guesses? My guess is despite this wire, it is to early to get an idea for Oppy. Could fail tomorrow, but its health seems quite robust. Spirit, on the other hand, I worry about, especially as we head into dust storm season. If it survives this, I think it will go until the Martian fall, when it will soon die from lack of power. I wonder if Oppy will last long enough to test the MRO relay. Seems like it could happen.
It depends on what you define as "last". Ploughing around, climbing, trenching, RATting and shaking rocks out of it's wheel will be over when the energy budget is too low and some day this will not be in Spirit's capabilities anymore due to accumulated dust. But keeping in touch, sending data once in a while and maintain stable (thermal stability, operating transmitter/receiver and antenna-mobility) needs muuuuuch less energy.
Can someone tell me roughly how much energy an exhausted and dusty MER needs in order to stay in touch ? I realise it is not easy to find out about this number. Ultimately though, this number could be extrapolated to the degradation characteristics of the solar array current, which (combined with the seasonal changes) could lead to a rough estimation of the end of the mission (which i consider the moment the last bit is received).
One aspect is harder to predict with respect to the above but certainly needs extra attention: a long term global dust storm. Could it kill a MER off right away ?
In other words: could it diminish the amount of energy converted in the arrays so much for such a long time, that all that's left afterwards is a cold rover without any juice in it's batteries left ? And then what ? Is it programmed in such a way that it wil start transmitting when the sun starts shining again ?
Or is it battery = empty = the end ?